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Home Trung tâm dữ liệu Biển Đông Hoang Viet, ASEAN AND THE PROSPECT FOR SOLUTION TO DISPUTES IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA
Details for Hoang Viet, ASEAN AND THE PROSPECT FOR SOLUTION TO DISPUTES IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA
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NameHoang Viet, ASEAN AND THE PROSPECT FOR SOLUTION TO DISPUTES IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA
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Hoang Viet, Lecturer, Law School, Ho Chi Minh National University, Viet Nam
 
"...In the short and medium term, a major armed conflict leading to the confrontation between China and the ASEAN seems unlikely although risks exist of military clashes. In the longer run, however, the sea disputes could become a major military threat to China, the ASEAN countries and the other parties concerned if these countries continue the armed race. As oil prices have risen substantially over recent years, the strategic environment in the South China Sea would see complicated and unpredictable developments. Whether the strategic environment would change for the better or worse depends on the regional and global geo-politics and the status of China-ASEAN relations. There are many reasons for us to be more optimistic when examining the conflicts and measure to resolve them.

 
It is possible that in a near future, the claimants to the South China Sea would not be able to resolve sovereignty, a complicated and sensitive problem considered sacred and very important. However, we can expect a moderate solution from the parties involved on joint exploration and development in these disputed territories."
Filesize1.31 MB
Created On: 11/27/2009 16:47
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